LONG TERM FORECAST OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND ESTIMATION FOR ACTIVE POWER DEMAND: A CASE STUDY OF BAUCHI, NIGERIA
| Author(s) | : | Onah Cletus, Onate Charles, Kpochi Paul |
| Institution | : | Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, University of Agriculture Makurdi |
| Published In | : | Vol. 5, Issue 12 — December 2018 |
| Page No. | : | 123-130 |
| Domain | : | Engineering |
| Type | : | Research Paper |
| ISSN (Online) | : | 2348-4470 |
| ISSN (Print) | : | 2348-6406 |
Accurate forecast of electricity consumption is important for utility companies because it determines thedynamics and characteristics of future construction of power facilities. Forecasting electricity is vital for powergeneration companies. It has many applications, including energy production scheduling, maintenance and operation ofelectric network, elaborate accurate investment and development plans for transmission and distribution networks,negotiation of power purchase agreements (PPAs) and purchasing fuels at optimal costs. In the long term, if theforecasts were too low or high, it could cause a number of adverse events, leading electricity companies in thegeneration deficit or complex financial problems due to excessive investment in generating facilities that are not fullyutilized. This paper presents the results of the forecast energy demand, electricity consumption and estimation for activepower of Bauchi metropolis, using the model for Analysis of Energy Demand (MAED). Modeling of base year is done onthe basis of available statistical data and trends in individual sectors. Results were compared with forecasts that wereprepared using other methods.
Onah Cletus, Onate Charles, Kpochi Paul, “LONG TERM FORECAST OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AND ESTIMATION FOR ACTIVE POWER DEMAND: A CASE STUDY OF BAUCHI, NIGERIA”, International Journal of Advance Engineering and Research Development (IJAERD), Vol. 5, Issue 12, pp. 123-130, December 2018.
